期刊
SCIENCE
卷 332, 期 6026, 页码 220-224出版社
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/science.1201224
关键词
-
资金
- EU [036961, 212250, 505539]
- Instituto Dom Luiz-Faculdade de Ciencias da Universidade de Lisboa [PTDC/AAC-CLI/103567/2008]
- Swiss National Science Foundation (Swiss National Center of Competence in Research-Climate)
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft [LU1608/1-1, AOBJ: 568460, LU 1608/2-1, AOBJ 575150]
- Hessian Centre on Climate Change and Geology
- Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia [PTDC/AAC-CLI/103567/2008] Funding Source: FCT
The summer of 2010 was exceptionally warm in eastern Europe and large parts of Russia. We provide evidence that the anomalous 2010 warmth that caused adverse impacts exceeded the amplitude and spatial extent of the previous hottest summer of 2003. Mega-heatwaves such as the 2003 and 2010 events likely broke the 500-year-long seasonal temperature records over approximately 50% of Europe. According to regional multi-model experiments, the probability of a summer experiencing mega-heatwaves will increase by a factor of 5 to 10 within the next 40 years. However, the magnitude of the 2010 event was so extreme that despite this increase, the likelihood of an analog over the same region remains fairly low until the second half of the 21st century.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据