期刊
RISK ANALYSIS
卷 34, 期 7, 页码 1196-1207出版社
WILEY-BLACKWELL
DOI: 10.1111/risa.12247
关键词
Decision making; epistemic uncertainty; representation; risk assessment
类别
资金
- PETROMAKS2 program of the Research Council of Norway
In the analysis of the risk associated to rare events that may lead to catastrophic consequences with large uncertainty, it is questionable that the knowledge and information available for the analysis can be reflected properly by probabilities. Approaches other than purely probabilistic have been suggested, for example, using interval probabilities, possibilistic measures, or qualitative methods. In this article, we look into the problem and identify a number of issues that are foundational for its treatment. The foundational issues addressed reflect on the position that probability is perfect and take into open consideration the need for an extended framework for risk assessment that reflects the separation that practically exists between analyst and decisionmaker.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据