Anti-nucleosome antibodies outperform traditional biomarkers as longitudinal indicators of disease activity in systemic lupus erythematosus

Objective. The aim of this study was to determine whether anti-nucleosome antibodies function as activity-specific biomarkers in SLE. Methods. Fifty-one patients were recruited and followed prospectively with periodic clinical and biochemical assessments over a 14-month period. Disease activity was determined by the SLEDAI-2K. Anti-nucleosome antibody levels were measured by an ELISA and its utility as an activity-specific biomarker as compared with that of anti-dsDNA antibodies and C3 was assessed both at baseline and in longitudinal analysis. Results. Anti-nucleosome antibodies were significantly elevated in SLE patients vs controls and showed a moderate positive correlation with disease activity. The utility of anti-nucleosome antibodies in identifying patients with active disease in a cross-sectional analysis was comparable to that of anti-dsDNA antibodies and C3. Analysis of variance demonstrated that the level of anti-nucleosome antibodies and C3 varied significantly with changes in disease activity over time. Changes in clinical state were not mirrored by changes in anti-dsDNA antibodies. In time-dependent analysis, anti-nucleosome antibodies showed a better fit over time than anti-dsDNA antibodies and C3. In pairwise comparisons, C3 and anti-nucleosome antibodies outperformed other models, including the conventional pairing of C3 and anti-dsDNA antibodies, however, no biomarker alone or as a group accurately predicted impending remissions or exacerbations. Conclusion. Anti-nucleosome antibodies demonstrate greater fidelity as a biomarker for changes in SLE disease activity than traditional biomarkers, supporting the routine monitoring of this antibody in clinical practice.