期刊
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY
卷 95, 期 11, 页码 1123-1133出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2010.06.019
关键词
Loss of life; Mortality; Consequence modelling; Quantitative risk analysis
In assessing the safety of engineering systems in the context of quantitative risk analysis one of the most important consequence types concerns the loss of life due to accidents and disasters. In this paper, a general approach for loss of life estimation is proposed which includes three elements: (1) the assessment of physical effects associated with the event; (2) determination of the number of exposed persons (taking into account warning and evacuation); and (3) determination of mortality amongst the population exposed. The typical characteristics of and modelling approaches for these three elements are discussed. This paper focuses on small probability-large consequences events within the engineering domain. It is demonstrated how the proposed approach can be applied to various case studies, such as tunnel fires, earthquakes and flood events. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据