期刊
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY
卷 93, 期 1, 页码 78-88出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2006.10.014
关键词
earthquakes; electrical power; fragility; infrastructure; lifeline systems; networks; probability; reliability; water distribution
Civil infrastructure systems, such as water, electrical power, natural gas, and transportation systems, are essential to the smooth functioning of modern society. Because of their inter-connected nature, once one infrastructure system is damaged by an earthquake or other natural hazard, other infrastructure systems may malfunction as well. A number of previous studies have assessed vulnerability of infrastructure systems to earthquakes, but seldom have failures due to infrastructure system interactions been considered. In its assessment of the earthquake-induced damage of a municipal water system, this paper includes the impact of damage to the supporting electrical power system using a fault tree analysis and a shortest-path algorithm. The effect of uncertainty of seismic intensity and component fragility on network integrity is evaluated. A case study involving a simple model of the electrical power system and water system in Shelby County. TN, which includes the city of Memphis, demonstrates the importance of taking infrastructure interactions into account when evaluating the seismic vulnerability and risk to a networked system, as well as the utility of back-up power systems in electric power facilities. (C) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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