相关参考文献
注意:仅列出部分参考文献,下载原文获取全部文献信息。Application of Forecast Verification Science to Operational River Forecasting in the US National Weather Service
Julie Demargne et al.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2009)
Space and time variability of uncertainty in morphodynamic simulations
A. B. Fortunato et al.
COASTAL ENGINEERING (2009)
On the prediction of extreme ecological events
Mark W. Denny et al.
ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS (2009)
Uncertainty in epidemiology and health risk and impact assessment
David J. Briggs et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL GEOCHEMISTRY AND HEALTH (2009)
Sensitivity analysis of prior model probabilities and the value of prior knowledge in the assessment of conceptual model uncertainty in groundwater modelling
Rodrigo Rojas et al.
HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES (2009)
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods to determine optimal models, model resolution and model choice for Earth Science problems
Kerry Gallagher et al.
MARINE AND PETROLEUM GEOLOGY (2009)
Generalized linear mixed models: a practical guide for ecology and evolution
Benjamin M. Bolker et al.
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2009)
Evaluating uncertainty in integrated environmental models: A review of concepts and tools
L. Shawn Matott et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2009)
A regional analysis of event runoff coefficients with respect to climate and catchment characteristics in Austria
Ralf Merz et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2009)
Intercomparison of Spatial Forecast Verification Methods
Eric Gilleland et al.
WEATHER AND FORECASTING (2009)
Hydrological aspects of meteorological verification
F. Pappenberger et al.
ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS (2008)
What makes a fish (hydrologically) happy? A case for inverse modelling
Stuart N. Lane
HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES (2008)
Reconciling theory with observations: elements of a diagnostic approach to model evaluation
Hoshin V. Gupta et al.
HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES (2008)
Kalman filter updating of possibilistic hydraulic conductivity
James Ross et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2008)
Expert elicitation of recharge model probabilities for the Death Valley regional flow system
Ming Ye et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2008)
Accounting for the effect of observation errors on verification of MOGREPS
Neill E. Bowler
METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS (2008)
Do uncertainty analyses reveal uncertainties? Using the introduction of DNA vaccines to aquaculture as a case
Froydis Gillund et al.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2008)
Estimating the uncertainty of hydrological forecasts: A statistical approach
Alberto Montanari et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2008)
Treatment of input uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: Doing hydrology backward with Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation
Jasper A. Vrugt et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2008)
Model complexity control for hydrologic prediction
G. Schoups et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2008)
Bayesian methods in hydrologic modeling: A study of recent advancements in Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques
Tyler Jon Smith et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2008)
Framework for Understanding Structural Errors (FUSE): A modular framework to diagnose differences between hydrological models
Martyn P. Clark et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2008)
A process-based diagnostic approach to model evaluation: Application to the NWS distributed hydrologic model
Koray K. Yilmaz et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2008)
Communicating Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts: A Survey of the US Public
Rebecca E. Morss et al.
WEATHER AND FORECASTING (2008)
Uncertainty in the environmental modelling process - A framework and guidance
Jens Christian Refsgaard et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2007)
An effective screening design for sensitivity analysis of large models
Francesca Campolongo et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2007)
Mitigating parameter bias in hydrological modelling due to uncertainty in covariates
Shahadat Chowdhury et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2007)
Parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis for a watershed model
Mark Gallagher et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2007)
Structural uncertainty in a river water quality modelling system
Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt et al.
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2007)
Shallow lake restoration by nutrient loading reduction - some recent findings and challenges ahead
Erik Jeppesen et al.
HYDROBIOLOGIA (2007)
Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty in Florida during the 2004 Hurricane Season
Kenneth Broad et al.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2007)
Consideration of measurement uncertainty in the evaluation of goodness-of-fit in hydrologic and water quality modeling
R. Daren Harmel et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2007)
Assessment of rainfall-runoff models based upon wavelet analysis
Stuart N. Lane
HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES (2007)
Towards integrated environmental models of everywhere: uncertainty, data and modelling as a learning process
Keith Beven
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES (2007)
Ensemble forecasting of species distributions
Miguel B. Araujo et al.
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2007)
A framework for dealing with uncertainty due to model structure error
Jens Christian Refsgaard et al.
ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES (2006)
Input screening: Finding the important model inputs on a budget
Max D. Morris
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY (2006)
Survey of sampling-based methods for uncertainty and sensitivity analysis
J. C. Helton et al.
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY (2006)
Stochastic modelling of ecological processes using hybrid Gibbs samplers
David M. Walker et al.
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2006)
An advanced regularization methodology for use in watershed model calibration
John Doherty et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2006)
Object-based verification of precipitation forecasts. Part I: Methodology and application to mesoscale rain areas
Christopher Davis et al.
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2006)
A future for models and data in environmental science
James S. Clark et al.
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2006)
Ignorance is bliss: Or seven reasons not to use uncertainty analysis
F. Pappenberger et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2006)
Ten iterative steps in development and evaluation of environmental models
A. J. Jakeman et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2006)
Predictive models in ecology:: Comparison of performances and assessment of applicability
Can Ozan Tan et al.
ECOLOGICAL INFORMATICS (2006)
Social geography: seven deadly myths in policy research
R Pain
PROGRESS IN HUMAN GEOGRAPHY (2006)
Consistency of the results of different MCA methods: a critical review
J Mysiak
ENVIRONMENT AND PLANNING C-GOVERNMENT AND POLICY (2006)
A manifesto for the equifinality thesis
K Beven
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2006)
Copulas: A review and recent developments
Nikolai Kolev et al.
STOCHASTIC MODELS (2006)
Searching for the Holy Grail of scientific hydrology: Q(t) = H((S)under-left-arrow, (R)under-left-arrow, Delta t)A as closure
K. Beven
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES (2006)
Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications
TN Palmer et al.
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2005)
Flood risk, uncertainty, and scientific information for decision making - Lessons from an interdisciplinary project
RE Morss et al.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2005)
Difficulties in evaluating public engagement initiatives:: reflections on an evaluation of the UK GM Nation?: Public debate about transgenic crops
G Rowe et al.
PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF SCIENCE (2005)
Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support?
P Reichert et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2005)
Toward a generalized theory of uncertainty (GTU) - an outline
LA Zadeh
INFORMATION SCIENCES (2005)
Maximum likelihood ensemble filter: Theoretical aspects
M Zupanski
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2005)
Using Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles
AE Raftery et al.
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2005)
Follow the argument where it leads: some personal reflections on 'policy-relevant' research
J Burgess
TRANSACTIONS OF THE INSTITUTE OF BRITISH GEOGRAPHERS (2005)
An evaluation of the impact of model structure on hydrological modelling uncertainty for streamflow simulation
MB Butts et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2004)
Knowledge, uncertainty and physical geography: towards the development of methodologies for questioning belief
JD Brown
TRANSACTIONS OF THE INSTITUTE OF BRITISH GEOGRAPHERS (2004)
Modelling land use change with generalized linear models - a multi-model analysis of change between 1860 and 2000 in Gallatin Valley, Montana
R Aspinall
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT (2004)
Probability is perfect, but we can't elicit it perfectly
A O'Hagan et al.
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY (2004)
Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach
JE Oakley et al.
JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY (2004)
Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series
A Grinsted et al.
NONLINEAR PROCESSES IN GEOPHYSICS (2004)
The distributed model intercomparison project (DMIP): motivation and experiment design
MB Smith et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2004)
An overview of model integration for environmental application - components, frameworks and semantics
RM Argent
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2004)
Sources of uncertainty in pesticide fate modelling
IG Dubus et al.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2003)
Reduced drag coefficient for high wind speeds in tropical cyclones
MD Powell et al.
NATURE (2003)
Model uncertainty and choices made by modelers: Lessons learned from the international atomic energy agency model intercomparisons
I Linkov et al.
RISK ANALYSIS (2003)
Towards a coherent philosophy for modelling the environment
K Beven
PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES (2002)
Of BUGS and birds:: Markov chain Monte Carlo for hierarchical modeling in wildlife research
WA Link et al.
JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT (2002)
Ranking of parameters on the basis of their contribution to model uncertainty
I Bärlund et al.
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2001)
Modelling soil variation: past, present, and future
GBM Heuvelink et al.
GEODERMA (2001)
Efficiency and applicability of economic concepts dealing with environmental risk and ignorance
F Wätzold
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS (2000)