Risk factors for radioactive iodine-avid metastatic lymph nodes on post I-131 ablation SPECT/CT in low- or intermediate-risk groups of papillary thyroid cancer

Objective Post I-131 ablation single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT)/CT can show radioactive iodine (RAI)-avid cervical metastatic lymph nodes (mLN) in differentiated thyroid cancer. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of RAI-avid mLN on post I-131 ablation SPECT/CT and the risk factors related to metastasis among patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) in the low- or intermediate-risk groups. Study design and setting Among 339 patients with PTC who underwent total thyroidectomy followed by I-131 ablation, 292 (228 women, 64 men) belonging to the low- or intermediate-risk groups before I-131 ablation, and with sufficient clinical follow-up data were enrolled. The risk groups were classified based on the American Thyroid Association 2015 guideline. Each patient was followed-up for at least 24 months after the ablation (median: 30 months). The clinical, pathologic, and biochemical factors of PTC were reviewed, and their relationships to RAI-avid mLN on SPECT/CT were analyzed. Results Of the 292 patients, 61 and 231 belonged to the low-and intermediate-risk groups, respectively. Four (6.5%) patients in the low-risk group and 31 (13.0%) patients in the intermediate-risk group had RAI-avid mLN. A high preablation TSH-stimulated serum thyroglobulin (Tg) level in the low- or intermediate-risk group predicted the presence of RAI-avid mLN (cut-off = 0.5; hazard ratio (HR): 2.96; p = 0.04). In the subgroup analysis by risk group, TSH-stimulated serum Tg only predicted RAI-avid mLN in the low-risk group (cut-off = 1.0; HR: 5.3; p = 0.03). Conclusion The incidence of RAI-avid mLN on postablation SPECT/CT was relatively high in both low-and intermediate-risk patients with PTC, and high preablation TSH-stimulated serum Tg level was a predictor of metastasis, especially in the low-risk group. A selective treatment approach should be considered in patients with high preablation TSH-stimulated serum Tg level.