期刊
STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT
卷 29, 期 5, 页码 1403-1411出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s00477-015-1051-3
关键词
Qinghai; Precipitation concentration; Dry spell
类别
资金
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [51109109, 41375006]
- National Basic Research Program of China [31200534]
Understanding precipitation variations from various aspects is important for the assessment of drought risk and the utilization of water resources. The precipitation concentration index (PCI) and the concentration index (CI) were used to investigate/quantify the heterogeneity of the monthly and daily rainfall in Qinghai province that is part of northwestern China, respectively. The precipitation concentration in Qinghai shows a significant irregularity of the monthly rainfall distribution and highly homogeneous distribution of the daily rainfall. It is found that PCI and CI show negative trends at most stations. Meanwhile, the spatial and temporal variation of nine dry spell (DS) indices are analyzed. From the spatial perspective, drought in the northwestern area is much severer than that in other areas of Qinghai. According to the results of temporal analysis by using the Mann-Kendall test, the number of very long DSs, maximum length of DS, mean length of DSs, and the total dry days of extreme DS all decrease. All these results verify that the warm dry climatic pattern in Qinghai can be changed into the warm wet climatic pattern.
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