4.6 Article

Climate extreme and its linkage to regional drought over Idaho, USA

期刊

NATURAL HAZARDS
卷 65, 期 1, 页码 653-681

出版社

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0384-1

关键词

Climate change; Climatic indices; Drought; Climate extreme

资金

  1. NSF Idaho EPSCoR Program
  2. National Science Foundation [EPS-0814387]
  3. NASA [NNX08AL94G]
  4. EPSCoR
  5. Office Of The Director [0814387] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
  6. NASA [98275, NNX08AL94G] Funding Source: Federal RePORTER

向作者/读者索取更多资源

To investigate consequences of climate extreme and variability on agriculture and regional water resource, twenty-seven climatic indices of temperature and precipitation over Idaho, USA, were computed. Precipitation, mean temperature and maximum temperature, self-calibrated Palmer Drought Index and Standardized Precipitation Index for 1-, 3-, 6- and 12-month time scales were used to identify spatial and temporal distribution of climatic extreme and variability as well as drought frequency and magnitude. Seven oceanic indices were also used to detect teleconnections between climatic indices and regional droughts. The analyses were conducted for 56 meteorological stations, during 1962-2008, characterized by a long-term and high-quality data set. The result indicates that decreasing trends and increasing trends are identified for precipitation and temperature, respectively. Consequently, it appears that frost and ice days dwindle as growing season (May-August) length, tropical nights and summer days increase. Given current climate conditions, the results also imply that these trends will continue in the future possibly driven by uncertain climate variability. We anticipate that these indices explained by teleconnections will improve drought-forecasting capability in this region.

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