4.6 Article

Impact assessment using DEA of coastal hazards on social-economy in Southeast Asia

期刊

NATURAL HAZARDS
卷 48, 期 2, 页码 167-189

出版社

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-008-9256-0

关键词

Impact assessment; Coastal hazards; Southeast Asian countries; DEA method

资金

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [70425001, 70733005]
  2. National Key Projects from the Ministry of Science and Technology of China [2006-BAB08B01]

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Southeast Asian countries suffer from severe coastal hazards each year. A large number of these countries are incurring consequential costs that impact their national economies. It is crucial, therefore, to analyze the impact of such hazards on their economic development and provide a solid basis for future development strategies. The purpose of this paper is to assess the relationship between the economic development and the losses from coastal disasters, and to identify both the impact of hazards on the development, as well as the function of such development on the resilience to hazards. The data envelopment analysis (DEA) method is employed to build the assessment models. Data from 1995 to 2005 from eight Southeast countries are analyzed using the DEA models. A set of resilience index of these countries are concluded from the results. It is found that the economic development does not contribute to the strengthening of national resilience to coastal hazards. Inappropriate development could even impair the resilience. Additionally, the resilience to coastal hazards is impacted by various factors such as the allocation of resources and external assistance. From the analysis, a clear image is gained of the interaction between economic development and coastal hazards, which provides a basis for future development strategies.

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