期刊
MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES
卷 225, 期 1, 页码 24-35出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2010.01.006
关键词
Basic reproduction number; Critical vaccination coverage; Household epidemic; Multitype epidemic; Stochastic epidemic; Threshold theorem
资金
- Swedish Research Council
This paper is a survey paper on stochastic epidemic models. A simple stochastic epidemic model is defined and exact and asymptotic (relying on a large community) properties are presented. The purpose of modelling is illustrated by studying effects of vaccination and also in terms of inference procedures for important parameters, such as the basic reproduction number and the critical vaccination coverage. Several generalizations towards realism, e.g. multitype and household epidemic models, are also presented, as is a model for endemic diseases. (C) 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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