期刊
QUALITY AND RELIABILITY ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL
卷 32, 期 7, 页码 2253-2261出版社
WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/qre.1933
关键词
human error; roof bolting; expert assessment; Bayesian methodology; success likelihood index
资金
- National Science Foundation of Fujian Province [2013 J01262]
Investigations have shown that human error is the most common cause of roof bolting injuries. Human error probability estimation has become a critical issue for human reliability analysis (HRA) of roof bolting operation. Specialist judgment plays a crucial role in quantifying human error probability in the field because of limited availability of empirical data. However, the aggregation of specialist judgment is typically not carried out in a formal way in HRA. In this paper, an approach to combine Bayesian methodology and the success likelihood index method was to build a computable model using information from specialists for HRA of roof bolting operation. A numerical example was used to illustrate the application of the proposed methodology. Copyright (c) 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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