Clinical, biochemical, and genetic predictors of coronary artery bypass graft failure

Objectives: To identify novel predictors for coronary artery bypass grafting failure, we probed for associations with known clinical and biochemical risk factors for atherosclerosis. We also used microarray analysis to identify novel single nucleotide polymorphisms to better understand the genetics and pathogenesis of graft occlusion. Methods: The present study was a nested case-control substudy of the Radial Artery Patency Study 5-year follow-up data. From 1996 to 2001, 87 patients underwent coronary artery bypass grafting. Of these, 26 patients (29.9%) had an occluded study graft (saphenous vein or radial artery) at 8.0 +/- 1.1 years. The clinical parameters, late angiography, blood biomarker levels, and surgical outcomes data were included in a multivariate analysis to determine the independent predictors of graft failure. Results: The risk factors of graft failure were fibrinogen (odds ratio [OR], 3.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33-11.63; P = .01), creatinine (OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.10; P = .006), and diabetes mellitus (OR, 5.15; 95% CI, 1.08-24.59; P = .04). High-density lipoprotein (OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.53-1.02; P = .06) was weakly protective; however, low-density lipoprotein and total cholesterol were not predictors. We then identified the association of several human single nucleotide polymorphisms with graft failure, including mutations in glutathione-S-transferase alpha 3. Human coronary arteries and bypass grafts demonstrated increased protein expression of glutathione-S-transferase alpha 3, a known cardioprotective factor, in the atherosclerotic regions and surrounding adventitial tissues. Conclusions: We identified diabetes as a potential clinical predictor and plasma fibrinogen, creatinine, and high-density lipoprotein as potential novel biomarkers. These might help risk stratify patients for the development of graft failure. We also demonstrated a novel association between glutathione-S-transferase a3 and graft failure.