期刊
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
卷 370, 期 1665, 页码 -出版社
ROYAL SOC
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2013.0551
关键词
climate; climate change; vector-borne diseases; human health; modelling
类别
资金
- Joint UK DECC/Defra Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme [GA01101]
- National Institute for Mathematical and Biological Synthesis (NIMBioS)
- National Science Foundation
- U.S. Department of Homeland Security
- U.S. Department of Agriculture through NSF [EF-0832858]
- University of Tennessee, Knoxville
- Office of Science of the U.S. Department of Energy [DE-AC05-00OR22725]
- Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame
- Div Of Biological Infrastructure
- Direct For Biological Sciences [1300426] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
Arguably one of the most important effects of climate change is the potential impact on human health. While this is likely to take many forms, the implications for future transmission of vector-borne diseases (VBDs), given their ongoing contribution to global disease burden, are both extremely important and highly uncertain. In part, this is owing not only to data limitations and methodological challenges when integrating climate-driven VBD models and climate change projections, but also, perhaps most crucially, to the multitude of epidemiological, ecological and socio-economic factors that drive VBD transmission, and this complexity has generated considerable debate over the past 10-15 years. In this review, we seek to elucidate current knowledge around this topic, identify key themes and uncertainties, evaluate ongoing challenges and open research questions and, crucially, offer some solutions for the field. Although many of these challenges are ubiquitous across multiple VBDs, more specific issues also arise in different vector-pathogen systems.
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