期刊
JOURNAL OF NAVIGATION
卷 63, 期 1, 页码 137-152出版社
CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S0373463309990233
关键词
Navigational collision risk; Traffic conflict technique; Port safety; Quantitative risk analysis
资金
- Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore
- PSA Marine (Pte) Ltd
Navigational safety analysis relying on collision statistics is often hampered because of the low number of observations. A promising alternative approach that overcomes this problem is proposed in this paper. By analyzing critical vessel interactions this approach proactively measures collision risk in port waters. The proposed method is illustrated for quantitative measurement of collision risks in Singapore port fairways, and validated by examining correlations between the measured risks with those perceived by pilots. This method is ail ethically appealing alternative to the collision-based analysis for fast, reliable and effective safety assessment, thus possessing great potential for managing collision risks in port waters.
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