On the relationship between the decadal oscillations of the northern Ionian Sea and the salinity distributions in the eastern Mediterranean

We study the impact of decadal inversions of the Ionian upper layer circulation (denominated as Adriatic-Ionian Bimodal Oscillation System) on thermohaline properties of the Levantine and Cretan Seas. Lagrangian drifter data and surface geostrophic currents show that the Atlantic Water (AW) flow is well organized and most intense when the Ionian circulation is cyclonic. During the Ionian anticyclonic phase, the AW spreading pathway is the longest, contributing to its prolonged mixing and higher salinity once it reaches the Levantine. Thus, the Levantine basin is subject to less dilution by AW during the anticyclonic surface circulation phase. Empirical orthogonal function analysis of the sea level shows a large-amplitude circular feature in the northern Ionian which matches the cyclonic/anticyclonic gyre obtained from Lagrangian measurements. Furthermore, it reveals the out-of-phase variability of the North Ionian Gyre and the Aegean and Levantine sea levels. We further show that the surface salinity of the Levantine basin variation is out of phase with that of the Ionian surface layers. Salinity variations of the deepwater column in the Aegean are out of phase with the Ionian surface salinity values, owing probably to a fast transfer of the surface salinity changes via winter deep convection. The changing of the Levantine and Cretan Seas' salinity parallel to the Ionian circulation inversions suggests that the preconditioning for the eastern Mediterranean transient (EMT) is driven by internal processes. As the Ionian inversions are cyclical events, we conclude that the EMT is not an isolated episode but potentially a recurrent phenomenon.