相关参考文献
注意：仅列出部分参考文献，下载原文获取全部文献信息。Consequences of correlations between habitat modifications and negative impact of climate change for regional species survival
Florian Jeltsch et al.
AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT (2011)
Disentangling the Formation of Contrasting Tree-Line Physiognomies Combining Model Selection and Bayesian Parameterization for Simulation Models
Isabel Martinez et al.
AMERICAN NATURALIST (2011)
Effects of Harvesting Flowers from Shrubs on the Persistence and Abundance of Wild Shrub Populations at Multiple Spatial Extents
Juliano Sarmento Cabral et al.
CONSERVATION BIOLOGY (2011)
Predicting impacts of climate change on biodiversity: a role for semi-mechanistic community-level modelling
Karel Mokany et al.
DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS (2011)
Decomposing environmental, spatial, and spatiotemporal components of species distributions
Torsten Hothorn et al.
ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS (2011)
Integrating models with data in ecology and palaeoecology: advances towards a model-data fusion approach
Changhui Peng et al.
ECOLOGY LETTERS (2011)
Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters!
Trevor Keenan et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2011)
The role of climate and plant functional trade-offs in shaping global biome and biodiversity patterns
Bjoern Reu et al.
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY (2011)
The challenges and scope of theoretical biology
David C. Krakauer et al.
JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2011)
Fine-scale environmental variation in species distribution modelling: regression dilution, latent variables and neighbourly advice
Greg J. McInerny et al.
METHODS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION (2011)
Linking process to pattern: estimating spatiotemporal dynamics of a wildlife epidemic from cross-sectional data
Dennis M. Heisey et al.
ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS (2010)
Are exercises like this a good use of anybody's time?
James S. Hodges
ECOLOGY (2010)
Model complexity and information in the data: Could it be a house built on sand?
Subhash R. Lele
ECOLOGY (2010)
Advances in modeling highlight a tension between analytical accuracy and accessibility
Shannon LaDeau
ECOLOGY (2010)
Estimating demographic models for the range dynamics of plant species
Juliano S. Cabral et al.
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY (2010)
Estimability and Likelihood Inference for Generalized Linear Mixed Models Using Data Cloning
Subhash R. Lele et al.
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION (2010)
Demographic compensation and tipping points in climate-induced range shifts
Daniel F. Doak et al.
NATURE (2010)
Publish your computer code: it is good enough
Nick Barnes
NATURE (2010)
The virtual ecologist approach: simulating data and observers
Damaris Zurell et al.
OIKOS (2010)
Ecological models supporting environmental decision making: a strategy for the future
Amelie Schmolke et al.
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2010)
Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change
Michael R. Kearney et al.
CONSERVATION LETTERS (2010)
The art of modelling range-shifting species
Jane Elith et al.
METHODS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION (2010)
Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory
Luis-Miguel Chevin et al.
PLOS BIOLOGY (2010)
Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time
Jane Elith et al.
ANNUAL REVIEW OF ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS (2009)
Parameter identifiability, constraint, and equifinality in data assimilation with ecosystem models
Yiqi Luo et al.
ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS (2009)
Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change
Xavier Morin et al.
ECOLOGY (2009)
Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species' ranges
Michael Kearney et al.
ECOLOGY LETTERS (2009)
Is my model too complex? Evaluating model formulation using model reduction
N. M. J. Crout et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2009)
Integrating biophysical models and evolutionary theory to predict climatic impacts on species' ranges: the dengue mosquito Aedes aegypti in Australia
Michael Kearney et al.
FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY (2009)
Host culling as an adaptive management tool for chronic wasting disease in white-tailed deer: a modelling study
Gideon Wasserberg et al.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY (2009)
The potential for behavioral thermoregulation to buffer cold-blooded animals against climate warming
Michael Kearney et al.
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2009)
A Review of Bayesian Variable Selection Methods: What, How and Which
R. B. O'Hara et al.
BAYESIAN ANALYSIS (2009)
Linking traits to energetics and population dynamics to predict lizard ranges in changing environments
Lauren B. Buckley
AMERICAN NATURALIST (2008)
Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models
Sophie Rickebusch et al.
BIOLOGY LETTERS (2008)
Predicting extinction risks under climate change:: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models
David A. Keith et al.
BIOLOGY LETTERS (2008)
Modelling species distributions without using species distributions: the cane toad in Australia under current and future climates
Michael Kearney et al.
ECOGRAPHY (2008)
Modeling of species distributions with Maxent:: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation
Steven J. Phillips et al.
ECOGRAPHY (2008)
ANNUAL PLANTS UNDER CYCLIC DISTURBANCE REGIME: BETTER UNDERSTANDING THROUGH MODEL AGGREGATION
Joern Pagel et al.
ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS (2008)
When similar ecological patterns in time emerge from different initial conditions: equifinality in the breeding performance of animal populations
Vincenzo Penteriani
ECOLOGICAL COMPLEXITY (2008)
COMPONENTS OF UNCERTAINTY IN SPECIES DISTRIBUTION ANALYSIS: A CASE STUDY OF THE GREAT GREY SHRIKE
Carsten F. Dormann et al.
ECOLOGY (2008)
Prediction of plant species distributions across six millennia
Peter B. Pearman et al.
ECOLOGY LETTERS (2008)
Prediction uncertainty of environmental change effects on temperate European biodiversity
Carsten F. Dormann et al.
ECOLOGY LETTERS (2008)
Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations
Sally N. Aitken et al.
EVOLUTIONARY APPLICATIONS (2008)
Spatial scale affects bioclimate model projections of climate change impacts on mountain plants
Mandar R. Trivedi et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2008)
Managing wildlife populations with uncertainty: cormorants Phalacrocorax carbo
G. C. Smith et al.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY (2008)
Spatial pattern formation facilitates eradication of infectious diseases
Dirk Eisinger et al.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY (2008)
Spatial modelling of succession-disturbance dynamics in forest ecosystems: Concepts and examples
George L. W. Perry et al.
PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS (2008)
Opening the climate envelope reveals no macroscale associations with climate in European birds
Colin M. Beale et al.
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2008)
Niche dynamics in space and time
Peter B. Pearman et al.
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2008)
Eutrophication risk assessment using Bayesian calibration of process-based models: Application to a mesotrophic lake
George B. Arhonditsis et al.
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2007)
Uncertainty in the environmental modelling process - A framework and guidance
Jens Christian Refsgaard et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2007)
Can niche-based distribution models outperform spatial interpolation?
Volker Bahn et al.
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY (2007)
The botanist effect revisited: Plant species richness, county area, and human population size in the United States
Marco Pautasso et al.
CONSERVATION BIOLOGY (2007)
Methods to account for spatial autocorrelation in the analysis of species distributional data:: a review
Carsten F. Dormann et al.
ECOGRAPHY (2007)
Process-based modeling of species' distributions: What limits temperate tree species' range boundaries?
Xavier Morin et al.
ECOLOGY (2007)
Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion
O. Broennimann et al.
ECOLOGY LETTERS (2007)
How well do herbarium data predict the location of present populations?: A test using Echinacea species in Missouri
Wendy L. Applequist et al.
BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION (2007)
The generality of habitat suitability models: A practical test with two insect groups
Silke Hein et al.
BASIC AND APPLIED ECOLOGY (2007)
Towards an understanding of the Holocene distribution of Fagus sylvatica L.
Thomas Giesecke et al.
JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY (2007)
The ability of climate envelope models to predict the effect of climate change on species distributions
Robert J. Hijmans et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2006)
Are niche-based species distribution models transferable in space?
Christophe F. Randin et al.
JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY (2006)
Towards the systematic simplification of mechanistic models
G. M. Cox et al.
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2006)
The relative importance of climatic effects, wildfires and management for future forest landscape dynamics in the Swiss Alps
Sabine Schumacher et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2006)
Towards European climate risk surfaces:: the extent and distribution of analogous and non-analogous climates 1931-2100
Ralf Ohlemueller et al.
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY (2006)
Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data
J Elith et al.
ECOGRAPHY (2006)
Getting the right answers for the right reasons: Linking measurements, analyses, and models to advance the science of hydrology
JW Kirchner
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2006)
Constrain to perform:: Regularization of habitat models
B Reineking et al.
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2006)
Building statistical models to analyze species distributions
AM Latimer et al.
ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS (2006)
Migration rate limitations on climate change-induced range shifts in Cape Proteaceae
G. F. Midgley et al.
DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS (2006)
Error and uncertainty in habitat models
Simon Barry et al.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY (2006)
Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change
MB Araújo et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2005)
Modelling occurrence and abundance of species when detection is imperfect
JA Royle et al.
OIKOS (2005)
The evolution of species' distributions:: Reciprocal transplants across the elevation ranges of Mimulus cardinalis and M. lewisii
AL Angert et al.
EVOLUTION (2005)
Bayesian calibration of process-based forest models: bridging the gap between models and data
M Van Oijen et al.
TREE PHYSIOLOGY (2005)
A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system -: art. no. GB1015
G Krinner et al.
GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES (2005)
Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models
A Guisan et al.
ECOLOGY LETTERS (2005)
Model selection in ecology and evolution
JB Johnson et al.
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2004)
Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model
S Sitch et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2003)
Chaotic-time-series reconstruction by the Bayesian paradigm: Right results by wrong methods
K Judd
PHYSICAL REVIEW E (2003)
Improving the quality of distribution models for conservation by addressing shortcomings in the field collection of training data
IP Vaughan et al.
CONSERVATION BIOLOGY (2003)
Spatial prediction of species distribution: an interface between ecological theory and statistical modelling
MP Austin
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2002)
Representation of vegetation dynamics in the modelling of terrestrial ecosystems: comparing two contrasting approaches within European climate space
B Smith et al.
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY (2001)
Phenology is a major determinant of tree species range
I Chuine et al.
ECOLOGY LETTERS (2001)
Habitat models and their transfer for single and multi species groups:: a case study of carabids in an alluvial forest
A Bonn et al.
ECOGRAPHY (2001)
Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems using the GLUE methodology
K Beven et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2001)
A unified model for budburst of trees
I Chuine
JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2000)
A global distribution of biodiversity inferred from climatic constraints: results from a process-based modelling study
A Kleidon et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2000)
The equilibrium assumption in estimating the parameters of metapopulation models
A Moilanen
JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY (2000)
分享论文
