Performance prediction of a RPF-fired boiler using artificial neural networks

In order to provide adequate engineering assistance and to improve the energy efficiency in process industries, it is crucial to evaluate the operational performance of a boiler in terms of its practical requirements, viz. temperature, pressure, and mass flow rate of steam. This study was aimed at assessing and optimizing the performance of a refuse plastic fuel-fired boiler using artificial neural networks. A feed-forward back propagation neural network model was developed and trained using existing plant data (5months), to predict temperature, pressure, and mass flow rate of steam, using the following input parameters: feed water pressure, feed water temperature, conveyor speed, and incinerator exit temperature. The predictive capability of the model was evaluated in terms of mean absolute percentage error between the model fitted and actual plant data, while sensitivity analysis was performed on the input parameters by determining the absolute average sensitivity values. The higher absolute average sensitivity value of the incinerator exit temperature in comparison to that of feed water pressure, feed water temperature and conveyor speed suggested that the change of incineration exit temperature has a significant influence on the selected outputs (steam properties). Overall, the good results observed from this work demonstrate the fact that artificial neural networks can efficiently predict the data on steam properties and could serve as a good tool to monitor boiler behavior under real-time conditions. Copyright (c) 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.