期刊
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CIRCUITS AND SYSTEMS II-EXPRESS BRIEFS
卷 55, 期 9, 页码 927-931出版社
IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
DOI: 10.1109/TCSII.2008.924365
关键词
failure analysis; power systems; reliability; risk analysis
资金
- Power Systems Engineering Research Center (PSERC)
- National Science Foundation (NSF) [ECCS-0606003, SES-0623985]
- People's Republic of China
- NCEPU
We study cascading transmission line outages recorded over nine years in an electric power system with approximately 200 lines. The average amount of propagation of the line outages is estimated from the data. The distribution of the total number of line outages is predicted from the propagation and the initial outages using a Galton-Watson branching process model of cascading failure.
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