Article
Demography
Alex Proshin
Summary: This study evaluates the impact of the Maternity Capital (MC) program on child health, household consumption patterns, and housing quality. The study finds that MC eligibility may lead to a small improvement in child health, particularly in rural areas where housing conditions are improved. However, children in MC-eligible families are more likely to report reduced socialization. Heterogeneity analysis suggests that MC incentives may have a differential impact on various outcomes.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Wanru Xiong
Summary: This study analyzes the gains and losses in marriage prospects for unmarried migrants and natives during population redistribution driven by internal migration. The findings reveal that female migrants who move for labor market opportunities have better marriage prospects in their place of residence, especially those from rural areas. However, the marriage prospects of male migrants mostly decrease after migration, except for those with higher education levels. Overall, the study highlights a conflict between labor market opportunities and marriage market opportunities in China.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Nico Keilman
Summary: Demographic forecasters should be realistic about their ability to accurately predict future populations and include estimates of uncertainty in their forecasts. This study focuses on the future development of the immigrant population and their Norwegian-born children in Norway, grouped into three categories based on country background. A probabilistic forecast is used to assess the reliability of projections, and various models are employed to extrapolate age patterns. The findings suggest that while some population trends are certain, the forecasts for immigrants and their children by age groups have wide prediction intervals and are therefore unreliable.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Philip Rees, Tom Wilson
Summary: The preparation of forecasts for small and local area populations faces challenges due to unreliable estimation of rates caused by small numbers. The Synthetic Migration Population Projection (SYMPOPP) model is designed to forecast local populations without detailed area-specific information and has been successful in Australia. This paper assesses the performance of SYMPOPP when applied to local areas in England. The model uses a bi-regional structure and sub-models of total population change. The results show that SYMPOPP has lower errors compared to official projections, especially in areas with specific populations influenced by factors not captured in the projection model for the general population.
POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Demography
Hanzhi Hu
Summary: This study investigates the educational consequences of fertility decline in China using data from China General Social Survey (CGSS) and China Family Panel Survey (CFPS). The results show that fertility decline has led to an improvement in average years of schooling, but its impact on educational disparity between genders is limited, while it has a marked impact on rural-urban educational disparity.
POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Demography
Senhu Wang, Yi Wang, Yang Shen
Summary: This study investigates the role of high housing prices as a structural constraint on marriage and fertility, and examines how government housing policies can shape the intentions of young unmarried individuals. The results show that exposure to housing policy information can significantly enhance positive marriage and fertility intentions among young unmarried individuals in Shanghai. The positive effects of housing policies are mediated by respondents' attitudes towards marriage, perceived housing affordability, and perceived social norms supporting family formation.
POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Demography
Cassidy Castiglione, Mackenzie Brewer, Rachel Tolbert Kimbro
Summary: Insufficient sleep for children is a less studied risk factor for health and educational outcomes. This study examines how parental work characteristics, such as mothers' and fathers' work hours per week and occupation type, are associated with children's insufficient sleep. The findings suggest that both parents' work characteristics have an impact on children's sleep outcomes, with higher risk of insufficient sleep when mothers work 35 hours or more per week and when fathers work in construction and production occupations.
POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Demography
Juan J. Fernandez, Dacil Juif
Summary: This study examines the relationship between abortion liberalisation and fertility rate changes through a global quantitative analysis. The results indicate that there is no robust association between abortion reforms and fertility rates. Fertility rates are significantly related to average public education levels and alternative contraceptive use.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Rajan Sarma, Nazmina Hussain, Labananda Choudhury
Summary: This paper investigates the impact of mortality and fertility on the net reproduction rate from a dynamic perspective and its influence on India's demographic characteristics. The dynamic approach of the net reproduction rate provides a more accurate picture of fertility regimes in India by considering changes in mortality and fertility. The estimated values of the dynamic net reproduction rate are found to be lower than the conventional net reproduction rate for India and all the states examined, mainly due to changes in fertility. The study uses several classic demographic measures under both conventional and dynamic approaches to analyze the implications of the net reproduction rate on population characteristics, and also provides estimates of the minimum time required for attaining stationarity under the hypothetical condition of imposing the replacement-level fertility based on both the conventional and dynamic scenario. This comparison reveals that the projected year of attaining stationarity differs significantly in cases where there is a striking difference between the conventional and dynamic net reproduction rate.
CANADIAN STUDIES IN POPULATION
(2023)
Article
Demography
Anna Barbuscia, Ariane Pailhe, Anne Solaz
Summary: The Covid-19 pandemic has led to increased economic uncertainty, which in turn affects couple relationships. Using data from the EPICOV survey in France, this study examined separation rates and their association with employment and income uncertainty. The results showed increased separation rates, especially among younger individuals, in the 6 months after the first lockdown, but a return to normal rates afterwards. Unemployment and lower pre-pandemic income were associated with a higher separation risk, while changes in employment conditions during the lockdown were not linked to separation. Men who reported deteriorating financial conditions had a higher separation risk throughout the year.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Oscar Smallenbroek
Summary: This article examines the implications of a modern psychological theory of values for the Second Demographic Transition (SDT). The theory of basic human values (TBHV) replaces the values theory of Maslow used in the SDT and distinguishes between personal-focused and social-focused growth values. This distinction has important implications for the SDT as it reveals that some individualistic values identified in the SDT are actually basic need motivated, and that TBHV values on interdependence and independence are strongly influenced by gender.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Elisa Labbas, Maria Stanfors
Summary: Given population ageing and the emphasis on in-home care, more working-age adults are facing the demands of providing unpaid care to the elderly with potential implications for their own well-being. We studied the relationship between unpaid caregiving for elderly parents and the psychological well-being of older working-age (50-64) men and women, finding that both men and women experience significant psychological well-being losses across Europe, particularly when the caregiving is intensive. The heavier caregiving burden associated with coresidence explains the depression levels, especially for women in Southern Europe.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Zuzana Zilincikova, Christine Schnor
Summary: The geographic distance between a child and their non-resident parent is important after parental separation. The expectation is that both parents will have equal involvement in raising their children, resulting in closer proximity. However, there is no evidence regarding these trends outside of Sweden. In this study, the researchers examined the trends in Belgium from 1992 to 2018, focusing on socioeconomic status and the child's age during separation. The study found a slight decrease in distance between children and non-resident fathers, while the decrease was larger for non-resident mothers. The distance increased for very young children and children with low-educated fathers, indicating inequality in certain parent-child relationships.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Maxim Kan
Summary: The fertility rates in Kazakhstan have returned to levels not seen in decades. The increase is not only due to delayed first births, but a genuine increase across all birth orders. This trend is evident for both ethnicities and educational groups, indicating a reversed fertility transition after the economic crisis in the 1990s.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
Article
Demography
Daniela Ghio, Anne Goujon, Fabrizio Natale, Alessandrini Alfredo, Thomas Petroliagkis
Summary: This article focuses on the vulnerability of African populations to climate change and highlights the disparities in terms of rural populations, poverty levels, and education. By overlaying demographic projections and climate change projections, the study identifies the areas that will be most affected and emphasizes the need for targeted strategies and interventions to mitigate the impacts and protect vulnerable populations.
POPULATION AND ENVIRONMENT
(2023)
Article
Demography
Yefei Sun
Summary: This study examines the impact of temperature changes on rural outmigration in Jiangxi Province, China. The results show that extremely low temperatures increase rural outmigration, while warmer temperatures improve crop yields and decrease outmigration.
POPULATION AND ENVIRONMENT
(2023)
Article
Demography
Moana Rarere, Yara Jarallah, Tahu Kukutai
Summary: The survival of Indigenous peoples in the CANZUS states is remarkable, with Indigenous population growth rates significantly outpacing those of the dominant settler populations. Understanding the causes and consequences of fertility behavior is critical for the future survival of Indigenous peoples. While total fertility rates for Indigenous women in CANZUS countries are relatively low, childbearing tends to be concentrated at younger ages. This highlights the importance of studying how cultural factors shape contemporary Indigenous fertility behaviors.
JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH
(2023)
Article
Demography
Santosh Jatrana, Samba Siva Rao Pasupuleti
Summary: This study used data from the Household Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia survey to investigate how Foreign-Born men and women from English speaking (ES) and non-English speaking (NES) countries differ in their trajectories of developing long-term disability compared to Native-Born Australians. The findings showed that the risk of developing long-term disability increased with the duration of residence for men from both ES and NES countries, as well as women from NES countries. However, all participants lost their initial health advantage after 10 or more years of living in Australia. The study also found that socioeconomic factors and English language proficiency played a mediating role in the development of long-term disability for immigrant men and women from ES countries, and immigrant women from NES countries.
JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH
(2023)
Article
Demography
Michel Garenne, Nancy Stiegler
Summary: This study investigates parental sex-preferences for children in South Africa, finding significant differences between women and men. Cultural and ethnic factors have a strong influence on sex-preferences, while socio-economic factors have a smaller impact. Additionally, the current family composition and individual satisfaction with the composition also affect sex-preferences.
JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH
(2023)
Article
Demography
Ana Fostik, Mariana Fernandez Soto, Fernando Ruiz-Vallejo, Daniel Ciganda
Summary: This article examines the relationship between union instability and cumulated fertility among ever-partnered women in various regions. By analysing a large dataset from 25 countries, the study finds that a greater prevalence of repartnering is associated with higher cumulated fertility in second or subsequent unions. Additionally, the length of time spent in a union is found to be a key determinant of cumulated fertility, independent of national context and age at union formation.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF POPULATION-REVUE EUROPEENNE DE DEMOGRAPHIE
(2023)
