4.7 Article

Projecting trends in plant invasions in Europe under different scenarios of future land-use change

Journal

GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY
Volume 21, Issue 1, Pages 75-87

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00573.x

Keywords

ALARM scenarios; alien plants; biological invasions; environmental change; habitat types; neophytes; non-native species; risk assessment

Funding

  1. European Union [GOCE-CT-2003-506675]
  2. Ministry of Education of the Czech Republic [MSM0021622416, MSM0021620828, LC06073]
  3. Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic [AV0Z60050516]
  4. Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation [CSD2008-00040, CGL2009-07515]
  5. Natural Environment Research Council [CEH010021] Funding Source: researchfish

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Aim Recent studies of plant invasions in habitat types across different climatic regions of Europe have made it possible to produce a European map of plant invasions. Parallel research led to the formulation of integrated scenarios of future socio-economic development, which were used to create spatially explicit scenarios of European land-use change for the 21st century. Here we integrate these two research lines and produce the first spatially explicit projections of plant invasions in Europe for the years 2020, 2050 and 2080.

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