4.7 Review

Text mining for market prediction: A systematic review

Journal

EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS
Volume 41, Issue 16, Pages 7653-7670

Publisher

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2014.06.009

Keywords

Online sentiment analysis; Social media text mining; News sentiment analysis; FOREX market prediction; Stock prediction based on news

Funding

  1. University of Malaya High Impact Research Grant from Ministry of Education Malaysia [vote UM.C1625/HIR/MOHE/SC/13/2]

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The quality of the interpretation of the sentiment in the online buzz in the social media and the online news can determine the predictability of financial markets and cause huge gains or losses. That is why a number of researchers have turned their full attention to the different aspects of this problem lately. However, there is no well-rounded theoretical and technical framework for approaching the problem to the best of our knowledge. We believe the existing lack of such clarity on the topic is due to its interdisciplinary nature that involves at its core both behavioral-economic topics as well as artificial intelligence. We dive deeper into the interdisciplinary nature and contribute to the formation of a clear frame of discussion. We review the related works that are about market prediction based on online-text-mining and produce a picture of the generic components that they all have. We, furthermore, compare each system with the rest and identify their main differentiating factors. Our comparative analysis of the systems expands onto the theoretical and technical foundations behind each. This work should help the research community to structure this emerging field and identify the exact aspects which require further research and are of special significance. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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