4.7 Article

What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting?

Journal

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 7, Issue 1, Pages -

Publisher

IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/015602

Keywords

seasonal; decadal; climate; prediction; predictability

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Environmental factors, such as the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme weather events, are important drivers of migration and displacement of people. There is therefore a growing need for regional climate predictions for the coming seasons to decades. This paper reviews the current state of the art of seasonal to decadal climate prediction, focusing on the potential sources of skill, forecasting techniques, current capability and future prospects.

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