Journal
ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION
Volume 161, Issue -, Pages 335-342Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2011.06.002
Keywords
Model; HERMES; LOTOX2-Hg; Mercury; Lake Ontario
Categories
Funding
- Great Lakes Atmospheric Deposition (GLAD) program
- Atomic Energy of Canada Limited (AECL)
- Environment Canada Clean Air Regulatory Agenda (CARA)
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The HERMES model-predicted Hg concentrations and fluxes in Lake Ontario were based on twelve lake and drainage basin variables (i.e., water temperature, precipitation rate, air Hg, surface area, mean depth, water volume, water inflow rate, inflow water Hg, inflow and lake suspended particulate matter, air-water and water air mass transfer coefficients, and sedimentation rate). The HERMES model-predicted Hg water and surface sediment concentrations were found to be significantly correlated (+/-20%) with measured values (r(2) = 0.94, p < 0.0001, n = 13) and mechanistic model predictions (LOTOX2-Hg, r(2) = 0.95, p < 0.0001, n = 10). The predictive capacity of HERMES was previously tested on smaller (<= 1 km(2)) lakes in Nova Scotia and Ontario, Canada (i.e., water and sediment Hg concentrations were +/-15% of measured data). Results suggest that HERMES could be applicable to a broad range of lake sizes. Uncertainty analyses on HERMES model input variables indicated a larger atmospheric Hg contribution for Lake Ontario when compared to previous predictions for smaller lakes. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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