Journal
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
Volume 109, Issue -, Pages 80-92Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.07.022
Keywords
Climate change adaptation planning; Coastal community resilience; Coastal flooding; Coastal hazards; Envision; Tillamook county; OR
Categories
Funding
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Coastal and Ocean Climate Applications (COCA) program [NA12OAR4310109, NA15OAR4310243]
- NOAA's Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments Program (RISA) [NA10OAR4310218, NA15OAR4310145]
Ask authors/readers for more resources
Coupled models of coastal hazards, ecosystems, socioeconomics, and landscape management in conjunction with alternative scenario analysis provide tools that can allow decision-makers to explore effects of policy decisions under uncertain futures. Here, we describe the development and assessment of a set of model-based alternative future scenarios examining climate and population driven landscape dynamics for a coastal region in the U.S. Pacific Northwest. These scenarios incorporated coupled spatiotemporal models of climate and coastal hazards, population and development, and policy and assessed a variety of landscape metrics for each scenario. Coastal flooding and erosion were probabilistically simulated using 99 future 95-year climate scenarios. Five policy scenarios were iteratively co-developed by researchers and stakeholders in Tillamook County, Oregon. Results suggest that both climate change and management decisions have a significant impact across the landscape, and can potentially impact geographic regions at different magnitudes and timescales.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available