4.7 Article

A very simple dynamic soil acidification model for scenario analyses and target load calculations

Journal

ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
Volume 24, Issue 3, Pages 329-340

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2008.09.007

Keywords

Dynamic model; Soil acidification; Critical load; Target load; Delay times; Bayesian calibration; VSD

Funding

  1. European Commission LIFE III programme within the framework of the European Consortium for Modelling Air Pollution and Climate Strategies (EC4MACS)
  2. Convention on Longrange Transboundary Air-Pollution

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A very simple dynamic soil acidification model, VSD, is described, which has been developed as the simplest extension of steady-state models for critical load calculations and with an eye On regional applications. The model requires only a minimum set of inputs (compared to more detailed models) and execution time is minimised by reducing the set of model equations to a single non-linear equation. To facilitate the exploration of model behaviour at individual sites, the model is linked to a graphical user interface (GUI). This GUI allows easy (Bayesian) calibration, forward simulation (scenario analyses) and can also be Used to compute target loads and delay times between deposition reductions and ecosystem recovery. VSD compares well to other widely used more complex models and is currently used in several European Countries in the Support Of effects-based emission reduction policies. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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