4.7 Article

Innovative Mathematical Model for Earthquake Prediction

Journal

ENGINEERING FAILURE ANALYSIS
Volume 41, Issue -, Pages 89-95

Publisher

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.engfailanal.2013.10.016

Keywords

Earthquake; Prediction; Geohazard; Disaster management; Mathematical model

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An Innovative Mathematical Model analysis was carried out based on twenty years of earthquake data from California, Central USA, Northeast USA, Hawaii, Turkey, and Japan fault zones using Latitude, Longitude and Magnitude as variables. Using Poisson's distribution and spatial connection model, an identifiable pattern was found within the random occurrences of the earthquakes around each fault zone. This research provides an effective contribution to seismology by improving probability of successful prediction. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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