Journal
ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING
Volume 36, Issue 10, Pages 1383-1388Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2010.06.016
Keywords
Sea-level rise; Inundation; Wetland habitat; Nature conservation; Chongming Dongtan Nature Reserve
Funding
- China Postdoctoral Science Foundation
- National Ministry of Sci. Tech of China [2008BAJ10B01, 200805080]
- State key Laboratory of Estuarine and Coastal Research, East China Normal University, China
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Located at the mouth of the Yangtze Estuary, the Chongming Dongtan Nature Reserve is extremely vulnerable to climate change and especially to accelerated sea-level rise We use a variety of data from remote sensing, an in situ global positioning system (GPS), tidal gauges, nautical charts, geographic spatial analysis modeling and IPCC sea-level rise scenarios to forecast the potential impacts of increased sea level on the coastal wetland habitat at Chongming Dongtan Nature Reserve The results indicate that around 40% of the terrestrial area of the Dongtan Reserve will be inundated by the year 2100 due to an estimated 0 88 m increase in sea level. In particular, the Scirpus mariqueter communities and bare tidal flats are more vulnerable to sea-level rise. The limitations of this approach and the implication of the results for wetland and ecosystem conservation as well as management are discussed (C) 2010 Elsevier B V All rights reserved
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