Journal
CURRENT ZOOLOGY
Volume 57, Issue 3, Pages 375-389Publisher
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/czoolo/57.3.375
Keywords
Bet hedging; Climate change; Extreme weather; Reproductive failure; Truncation selection
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Funding
- Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation [GCL2010-19233-C03-02]
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Extreme weather conditions occur at an increasing rate as evidenced by higher frequency of hurricanes and more extreme precipitation and temperature anomalies. Such extreme environmental conditions will have important implications for all living organisms through greater frequency of reproductive failure and reduced adult survival. We review examples of reproductive failure and reduced survival related to extreme weather conditions. Phenotypic plasticity may not be sufficient to allow adaptation to extreme weather for many animals. Theory predicts reduced reproductive effort as a response to increased stochasticity. We predict that patterns of natural selection will change towards truncation selection as environmental conditions become more extreme. Such changes in patterns of selection may facilitate adaptation to extreme events. However, effects of selection on reproductive effort are difficult to detect. We present a number of predictions for the effects of extreme weather conditions in need of empirical tests. Finally, we suggest a number of empirical reviews that could improve our ability to judge the effects of extreme environmental conditions on life history [Current Zoology 57 (3): 375-389, 2011].
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