4.5 Article

Copula density estimation by total variation penalized likelihood with linear equality constraints

Journal

COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS
Volume 56, Issue 2, Pages 384-398

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2011.07.016

Keywords

Copula density estimation; Total variation; Maximum penalized likelihood estimation; Augmented Lagrangian method

Funding

  1. NSF [DMS-07-48839]
  2. ONR [N00014-08-1-1101]
  3. Alfred P. Sloan Research Fellowship
  4. Direct For Mathematical & Physical Scien
  5. Division Of Mathematical Sciences [0748839] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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A copula density is the joint probability density function (PDF) of a random vector with uniform marginals. An approach to bivariate copula density estimation is introduced that is based on maximum penalized likelihood estimation (MPLE) with a total variation (TV) penalty term. The marginal unity and symmetry constraints for copula density are enforced by linear equality constraints. The TV-MPLE subject to linear equality constraints is solved by an augmented Lagrangian and operator-splitting algorithm. It offers an order of magnitude improvement in computational efficiency over another TV-MPLE method without constraints solved by the log-barrier method for the second order cone program. A data-driven selection of the regularization parameter is through K-fold cross-validation (CV). Simulation and real data application show the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The MATLAB code implementing the methodology is available online. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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