Journal
CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Volume 60, Issue 7, Pages 1079-1082Publisher
OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC
DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciu1131
Keywords
Ebola; West Africa; clustering; genome sequencing; epidemiology
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Using Ebolavirus genomic and epidemiological data, we conducted the first joint analysis in which both data types were used to fit dynamic transmission models for an ongoing outbreak. Our results indicate that transmission is clustered, highlighting a potential bias in medical demand forecasts, and provide the first empirical estimate of underreporting.
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