4.5 Editorial Material

One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

Journal

CLIMATIC CHANGE
Volume 127, Issue 3-4, Pages 391-397

Publisher

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1

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Funding

  1. Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie
  2. SBE Off Of Multidisciplinary Activities [1329125] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article's underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggests that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.

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