Journal
CLIMATIC CHANGE
Volume 123, Issue 1, Pages 39-55Publisher
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0868-3
Keywords
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Funding
- Postdoctoral Fellowship in Science, Technology & Environmental Policy (Princeton)
- National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship
- French Ministry of Defence
- British Department of Energy and Climate Change, via the British Embassy in Paris
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Are violent conflict and socio-political stability associated with changes in climatological variables? We examine 50 rigorous quantitative studies on this question and find consistent support for a causal association between climatological changes and various conflict outcomes, at spatial scales ranging from individual buildings to the entire globe and at temporal scales ranging from an anomalous hour to an anomalous millennium. Multiple mechanisms that could explain this association have been proposed and are sometimes supported by findings, but the literature is currently unable to decisively exclude any proposed pathway. Several mechanisms likely contribute to the outcomes that we observe.
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