The clinical value of procalcitonin and neopterin in predicting sepsis and organ failure after major trauma

We examined whether procalcitonin (PCT) or neopterin (NT) are useful in predicting sepsis, multiple organ failure (MOF), or death after multiple trauma (MT). In a prospective clinical study, a total of 137 consecutive trauma patients (mean age 39 years, median injury severity score [ISS] 27 points) and 34 healthy volunteers were enrolled. Blood samples were collected on arrival in the emergency room until day 28 after trauma. Plasma NT was detected by enzyme-linked immunoassay and PCT plasma levels were determined using an immunoluminometric assay. The incidence of sepsis was 65%, MOF 48%, and death in hospital within 28 days 11%. After adjustment for age, gender, and ISS, PCT and NT levels during the first 2 days after injury were unable to differentiate between patients who developed sepsis or not. On the contrary, patients who developed MOF had higher PCT plasma levels on day 0 (0.60 vs. 0.15 ng/mL), and on days 1 and 2 combined (1.95 vs. 0.32 ng/mL). This difference remained significant in multivariate logistic regression (P = 0.01) and additional subgroup analyses for early and late MOF (P = 0.048 and 0.002). For NT, smaller differences were observed (4.39 vs. 3.68 nmol/L, and 7.20 vs. 5.79 nmol/L), which lost significance in multivariate analysis. On the basis of PCT, ISS, and age, a MOF prediction rule was developed and had a good predictive power (area under the curve: 0.77; P < 0.001). These findings demonstrate that high plasma concentrations of PCT in the early posttraumatic phase are an independent predictor of MOF but not of sepsis.