Bayesian neural network analysis of undrained side resistance of drilled shafts

A Bayesian neural network algorithm was used to model the relationship between the soil undrained shear strength, the effective overburden stress, and the undrained side resistance alpha factor for drilled shafts. The database comprised 127 field load tests. The Bayesian approach to learning in neural networks is a recent enhancement to improve the generalization ability of neural networks. Instead of just giving a single optimum prediction, the Bayesian approach provides information on the characteristic error of the prediction that arises from the uncertainty associated with interpolating noisy data. The developed neural network model provides good estimates of the undrained side resistance adhesion factor. Parametric studies using the trained neural network model suggest that the effective overburden stress directly or indirectly has an influence on the adhesion factor for drilled shafts. One distinct benefit of this neural network model is the computation of the error bars on the predictions of the adhesion factor. These error bars will aid in giving confidence to the predicted values and the interpretation of the results.