3.8 Review

Delphi expert panels in the scenario-based strategic planning of agriculture

Journal

FORESIGHT
Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages 66-+

Publisher

EMERALD GROUP PUBLISHING LTD
DOI: 10.1108/14636680610647156

Keywords

Agriculture; Delphi method; Forecasting; Generation and dissemination of information; Strategic planning; Finland

Funding

  1. Academy of Finland under the Sunare Research Programme on Sustainable use of Natural Resources (SUNARE)

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Purpose - This article seeks to present approaches on the utilisation of expert information in strategic planning practices. Design/methodology/approach - The article emphasises alternative scenario development for the bases of decision making. This is done through an evaluation of Delphi studies and their feasibility for scenario construction. As an application of the information processes, both narrow and broad expert information processes are presented as alternative sources for solutions in public sector strategic planning. Findings - Basically, there are two alternative ways to utilise Delphi studies in strategic planning and decision making: a broad expert information process (BEIP) model; and a narrow expert information process (NEIP) model. Practical implications - As a broad process, an example is presented of the alternative future outcomes and the argumentation around it in the share of genetically modified plant varieties in commercial farming in Finland. Originality/value - This theoretical review contributes to the discussions of the linkages between the use of expert information, the scenario planning and the strategic planning processes.

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