Journal
ARCHIVES OF DERMATOLOGY
Volume 143, Issue 1, Pages 21-28Publisher
AMER MEDICAL ASSOC
DOI: 10.1001/archderm.143.1.21
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Funding
- NCI NIH HHS [R01CA76333] Funding Source: Medline
- NIAID NIH HHS [K25AI50436, K24 AI062476-04, K24 AI062476, K23AI01794, K25 AI050436-05, K24AI062476, K25 AI050436, K23 AI001794-05, K23 AI001794] Funding Source: Medline
- NATIONAL CANCER INSTITUTE [R01CA076333] Funding Source: NIH RePORTER
- NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES [K23AI001794, K25AI050436, K24AI062476] Funding Source: NIH RePORTER
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Objective: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of various melanoma screening strategies proposed in the United States. Design: We developed a computer simulation Markov model to evaluate alternative melanoma screening strategies. Participants: Hypothetical cohort of the general population and siblings of patients with melanoma. Intervention: We considered the following 4 strategies: background screening only, and screening 1 time, every 2 years, and annually, all beginning at age 50 years. Prevalence, incidence, and mortality data were taken from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. Sibling risk, recurrence rates, and treatment costs were taken from the literature. Main Outcome Measures: Outcomes included life expectancy, quality-adjusted life expectancy, and lifetime costs. Cost-effectiveness ratios were in dollars per quality-adjusted life year ($/QALY) gained. Results: In the general population, screening 1 time, every 2 years, and annually saved 1.6, 4.4, and 5.2 QALYs per 1000 persons screened, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $10100/QALY, $80700/QALY, and $586800/QALY, respectively. In siblings of patients with melanoma ( relative risk, 2.24 compared with the general population), 1-time, every-2-years, and annual screenings saved 3.6, 9.8, and 11.4 QALYs per 1000 persons screened, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $4000/QALY, $35500/QALY, and $257800/QALY, respectively. In higher risk siblings of patients with melanoma (relative risk, 5.56), screening was more cost-effective. Results were most sensitive to screening cost, melanoma progression rate, and specificity of visual screening. Conclusions: One-time melanoma screening of the general population older than 50 years is very cost-effective compared with other cancer screening programs in the United States. Screening every 2 years in siblings of patients with melanoma is also cost-effective.
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