How Sustainable are Sustainable Development Programs? The Case of the Sloping Land Conversion Program in China

This paper undertakes a comprehensive assessment of the long-run sustainability of one of the world's largest sustainable development programs. the Slopping Land Conversion Program (SLCP) in China under different plausible post-SLCP scenarios. The analysis is based oil farmer contingent behavior post-program land and labor decisions its well its choice experiment data. Our econometric results highlight the main obstacles to the program's sustainability, which include specific shortfalls in program implementation and certain institutional constraints, namely tenure insecurity and poor land renting rights. The use of a choice experiment also reveals unique evidence on rural households' preferences over tenure reform in china. Crown Copyright (C) 2008 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.