4.8 Review

Climate impacts of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on South America

Journal

NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
Volume 1, Issue 4, Pages 215-231

Publisher

SPRINGERNATURE
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-020-0040-3

Keywords

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Funding

  1. National Key R&D Program of China [2018YFA0605700]
  2. CSHOR
  3. Earth System and Climate Change Hub of the Australian Government's National Environment Science Program
  4. CNPq [401873/2016-1]
  5. CAPES [88881.145866/2017-1, 88887.136402-00INCT]
  6. Program INCT-MCII
  7. Rede CLIMA
  8. CNPq (Brazil)
  9. Australian Research Council [ARC FT160100495]
  10. Fondecyt [1171861]
  11. ANR
  12. Universidad Nacional de Colombia at Medellin, Colombia
  13. Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Development Program [KMI2018-07010]
  14. Earth Institute Postdoctoral Fellows program
  15. National Institute of Science and Technology for Climate Change Phase 2 under CNPq grant [465501/2014-1]
  16. FAPESP [2014/50848-9]
  17. Sao Paulo Research Foundation Grant FAPESP [2015/50122-0]
  18. DFG-GRTK [1740/2]
  19. INCR-Climate change project Phase 2 [CNPq465501/2014-1, 16/2014]
  20. National Natural Science Foundation of China [41490640, 41490643]
  21. US NSF [AGS-1902970]
  22. NOAA
  23. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas (CONICET) [PIP 112-20120100626CO]
  24. UBACyT [20020130100489BA]
  25. Belmont Forum [ANR-15-JCL/-0002-01]

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The El Nino-Southern Oscillation exerts a strong influence on the global climate, including South America, where understanding of the phenomenon first emerged. This Review outlines the impacts of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on South America, focusing on the mechanisms and diversity of resulting teleconnections. The climate of South America (SA) has long held an intimate connection with El Nino, historically describing anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures off the coastline of Peru. Indeed, throughout SA, precipitation and temperature exhibit a substantial, yet regionally diverse, relationship with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). For example, El Nino is typically accompanied by drought in the Amazon and north-eastern SA, but flooding in the tropical west coast and south-eastern SA, with marked socio-economic effects. In this Review, we synthesize the understanding of ENSO teleconnections to SA. Recent efforts have sought improved understanding of ocean-atmosphere processes that govern the impact, inter-event and decadal variability, and responses to anthropogenic warming. ENSO's impacts have been found to vary markedly, affected not only by ENSO diversity, but also by modes of variability within and outside of the Pacific. However, while the understanding of ENSO-SA relationships has improved, with implications for prediction and projection, uncertainty remains in regards to the robustness of the impacts, inter-basin climate interactions and interplay with greenhouse warming. A coordinated international effort is, therefore, needed to close the observational, theoretical and modelling gaps currently limiting progress, with specific efforts in extending palaeoclimate proxies further back in time, reducing systematic model errors and improving simulations of ENSO diversity and teleconnections.

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