3.8 Article

Hurst analysis of electricity price dynamics

Journal

PHYSICA A
Volume 283, Issue 3-4, Pages 462-468

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00231-4

Keywords

econophysics; electricity price; mean-reversion; Hurst analysis

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The price of electricity is extremely volatile, because electric power cannot be economically stored, end user demand is largely weather dependent, and the reliability of the grid is paramount. However, underlying the process of price returns is a strong mean-reverting mechanism. We study this feature of electricity returns by means of Hurst R/S analysis. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

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