TGF-β1 as a prognostic factor in the process of early osteoarthrosis in the rabbit knee

Objective: To assess changes in knee joint fluid concentrations of transforming growth factor-beta1 (TGF-beta1) and proteoglycan (PG) fragments during the early course of post-traumatic osteoarthrosis (OA) after meniscectomy in the rabbit knee, and to ascertain whether the concentrations of these substances shortly after operation could be used as prognostic markers for the OA process. Design: In 15 rabbits with medial meniscectomy in one knee and a sham operation in the other knee, synovial lavage fluid samples were taken repeatedly, before operation, every third week post-operatively until 12 weeks, thereafter every sixth week, and at death. Five rabbits each were killed at 13, 25 and 40 weeks. Synovial lavage fluid samples from five non-operated rabbits served as controls. At death, two histological scores were formed that characterized the highest (MAX) and the overall (ALL) degree of OA changes in each joint. Results: TGF-beta1 and PG fragment concentrations in synovial lavage fluid correlated highly (R=0.81, P <0.001). Both OA scores were higher in meniscectomized than controls (P <0.05). The synovial lavage fluid concentration of TGF-beta1 at 3 weeks, but no other time point, correlated to the histological scores (ALL, R=0.58; MAX, R=0.52; P <0.001). Conclusion: Higher concentrations of TGF-beta1 in synovial lavage fluid early after surgery seemed indicative for the later development of more severe OA changes in contrast to lower concentrations. The association between TGF-beta1 and the changes found later in the cartilage was underlined by the high correlations between this substance and PG fragment concentrations in synovial lavage fluid at ail time points. (C) 2001 OsteoArthritis Research Society International.