Journal
JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE CRIMINOLOGY
Volume 17, Issue 4, Pages 377-390Publisher
KLUWER ACADEMIC/PLENUM PUBL
DOI: 10.1023/A:1012541821386
Keywords
unemployment; crime; time series; methodology; natural experiments
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National-level time series data are a crude tool for distinguishing between two alternative behavioral explanations for a link between unemployment and crime. Consequently, inferences drawn from aggregate time series estimates are likely to be misleading. A more fruitful approach to learning about the link between unemployment and crime would be to utilize a menagerie of different methodological approaches such as cross-section and panel data analysis of less geographically aggregated areas, natural experiments, international data, individual-level data, and ethnography.
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