Journal
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
Volume 2, Issue 3, Pages 106-117Publisher
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s101130100025
Keywords
Adaptation; Agriculture; Climate change scenarios; NALMI; Sustainable practices
Categories
Funding
- UK Countryside Agency
- UK Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions [EPG 1/1/68]
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The weight of scientific evidence suggests that human activities are noticeably influencing the world's climate. However, the effects of global climate change will be unevenly spread, due to local variations in vulnerability and adaptive capacity. Using downscaled projections of future UK climates over the next 50 years, this paper investigates the impacts of, and possible responses to, climate change in one small area in eastern England, selected as a test-bed for sustainable agriculture. It shows that local agricultural systems are vulnerable to changes in the climate. At present, however, these considerations have a limited effect on agricultural operations, which are mainly driven by short-term events and 'non-climate' policies, such as agricultural price support. The capacity of agricultural systems to adapt successfully to climate change will be determined by the ability of producers to integrate climate change into their planning strategies with a view to ultimately ensuring sustainable agricultural practices in the long term.
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