Journal
ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS
Volume 15, Issue 1, Pages 21-28Publisher
WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/asl2.457
Keywords
Sahel teleconnection; interannual variability; CFSv2 validation
Funding
- USAID [EEM-A-00-10-00001]
- Utah State University Agricultural Experiment Station [8556]
- [NNX13AC37G]
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This study presents new findings on the link between interannual variabilities of atmospheric circulations over the North Atlantic and precipitation over the African Sahel (P-S). Our analysis shows a meridionally stratified circulation wave train resembling the East Atlantic (EA) mode, apparently connected to P-S through Rossby wave dispersion in the middle troposphere originating from the North Atlantic. However, the Climate Forecast System version 2 fails to depict the EA and its P-S impact. Because the EA explains 29% of variance of P-S, this portion of P-S variability is either missing in the seasonal forecast, or being made up by an alternative process.
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