Relationship between cloud-to-ground discharge and penetrative clouds: A multi-channel satellite application

This work presents a relationship between atmospheric cloud-to-ground discharges and penetrative convective clouds. It combines Infrared and Water Vapor channels from the GOES-12 geostationary satellite with cloud-to-ground discharge data from the Brazilian Integrated Lightning Detection Network (RINDAT) during the period from January to February 2005. The difference between water vapor and infrared brightness temperature is a tracer penetrating clouds. Due to the water vapor channel's strong absorption, this difference is positive only during overshooting cases, when convective clouds penetrate the stratosphere. From this difference and the cloud-to-ground, discharge measured on the ground by RINDAT, it was possible to adjust exponential curves that relate the brightness temperature difference from these two channels to the probability of occurrence of cloud-to-ground discharges, with a very large coefficient of determination. If WV-IR brightness temperature difference is greater than - 15 K there is a large potential for cloud-to-ground discharge activity. As this difference increases the cloud-to-ground discharge probably increases, for example: if this difference is equal to zero, the probability of having at least one cloud-to-ground discharge is 10.9%, 7.0% for two, 4.4% for four, 2.7% for eight and 1.5% for sixteen cloud-to-ground discharges. Through this process, was developed a scheme that estimates the probability of occurrence of cloud-to-ground discharge over all the continental region of South America. (c) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.