Limnological and loading information and a phosphorus total maximum daily load (TMDL) analysis for Onondaga Lake

The phosphonis (P) total maximum daily load (TMDL) analysis and associated management plan for culturally eutrophic Onondaga Lake, NY, are critically evaluated based on available input/discharge and limnological information for the system. The evaluation is based on: (1) results from a long-term monitoring program conducted on the lake, its tributaries, and the adjoining river that receives the lake's outflow, (2) algal bioassay experiments of the bioavailability of particulate P (PP) in inputs to the lake, (3) loading rate calculations for forms of P in these inputs, (4) calculations of water densities in inflows and the take, (5) model analyses of plunging interflows and responses to seasonal material loading, and (6) mass balance calculations for a tracer conducted around the lake outlet and the receiving river to estimate inflow to the lake from the river. Several important system-specific characteristics were found not to be accommodated in the current TMDL analysis, including: (1) a P load from the river back into the lake, (2) seasonal plunging of tributaries to depths below the productive layers of the take, (3) incomplete and different bioavailabilities of PP in the various inputs, (4) the different settling velocities of PP from these sources, (5) false high estimates of TP loading from tributaries associated with turbidity interferences in P analyses, and (6) the implications of the high flushing rate of the lake for strong seasonality in the relative impacts of externals loads. The TMDL analysis is demonstrated to understate the present role of the dominant point source and overstate the importance of non-point sources. Recommendations are made to upgrade the TMDL analysis through an integrated program of model development, testing and application, supporting process studies and monitoring, and re-evaluation of management options.