Journal
LANCET
Volume 360, Issue 9326, Pages 73-77Publisher
LANCET LTD
DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(02)09339-X
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HIV/AIDS has reached pandemic proportions, and is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. In 2001, the Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS set out several alms with respect to reducing the effect and spread of HIV/AIDS, and an expanded response In low-income and middle-income countries was initiated. Here we examine the potential effect of the expanded global response based on analyses of epidemiological data, of mathematical models of HIV-1 transmission, and a review of the impact of prevention interventions on risk behaviours. Analyses suggest that If the successes achieved in some countries in prevention of transmission can be expanded to a global scale by 2005, about 29 million new Infections could be prevented by 2010.
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