Journal
ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS
Volume 715, Issue 2, Pages L138-L141Publisher
IOP PUBLISHING LTD
DOI: 10.1088/2041-8205/715/2/L138
Keywords
binaries: close; gravitation; stars: evolution; stars: neutron
Categories
Funding
- Polish MSHE [N N203 302835, N N203 511238]
- LANL [DE-AC52-06NA25396]
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Data from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (similar to 300,000 galaxies) indicate that recent star formation (within the last 1 billion years) is bimodal: half of the stars form from gas with high amounts of metals (solar metallicity) and the other half form with small contribution of elements heavier than helium (similar to 10%-30% solar). Theoretical studies of mass loss from the brightest stars derive significantly higher stellar-origin black hole (BH) masses (similar to 30-80 M-circle dot) than previously estimated for sub-solar compositions. We combine these findings to estimate the probability of detecting gravitational waves (GWs) arising from the inspiral of double compact objects. Our results show that a low-metallicity environment significantly boosts the formation of double compact object binaries with at least one BH. In particular, we find the GW detection rate is increased by a factor of 20 if the metallicity is decreased from solar (as in all previous estimates) to a 50-50 mixture of solar and 10% solar metallicity. The current sensitivity of the two largest instruments to neutron star-neutron star (NS-NS) binary inspirals (VIRGO: similar to 9 Mpc; LIGO: similar to 18) is not high enough to ensure a first detection. However, our results indicate that if a future instrument increased the sensitivity to similar to 50-100 Mpc, a detection of GWs would be expected within the first year of observation. It was previously thought that NS-NS inspirals were the most likely source for GW detection. Our results indicate that BH-BH binaries are similar to 25 times more likely sources than NS-NS systems and that we are on the cusp of GW detection.
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