4.5 Article

Crop-yield distributions revisited

Journal

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
Volume 85, Issue 1, Pages 108-120

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/1467-8276.00106

Keywords

crop-yields; Corn Belt; nonnormality; probability distributions; Texas cotton

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This article revisits the issue of crop-yield distributions using improved model specifications, estimation, and testing procedures that address the concerns raised in recent literature, which could have invalidated previous findings of yield nonnormality. It concludes that some aggregate and farm-level yield distributions are nonnormal, kurtotic, and right or left skewed, depending on the circumstances. The advantages of utilizing nonnormal versus normal probability distribution function models, and the consequences of incorrectly assuming crop-yield normality are explored.

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