Journal
ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Volume 50, Issue 4, Pages 453-458Publisher
KOREAN METEOROLOGICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1007/s13143-014-0035-4
Keywords
EDI; drought; solar activity; data analysis; climate change
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Funding
- Kyungpook National University
- National Research Foundation of Korea - Korean government [NRF-2011-0008123]
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Time series of drought indices has been considered mostly in view of temporal and spatial distributions of a drought index so far. Here we investigate the statistical properties of a daily Effective Drought Index (EDI) itself for Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Mokpo for the period of 100 years from 1913 to 2012. We have found that both in dry and wet seasons the distribution of EDI as a function of EDI follows the Gaussian function. In dry season the shape of the Gaussian function is characteristically broader than that in wet seasons. The total number of drought days during the period we have analyzed is related both to the mean value and more importantly to the standard deviation. We have also found that according to the distribution of the number of occasions where the EDI values of several consecutive days are all less than a threshold, the distribution follows the exponential distribution. The slope of the best fit becomes steeper not only as the critical EDI value becomes more negative but also as the number of consecutive days increases. The slope of the exponential distribution becomes steeper as the number of the city in which EDI is simultaneously less than a critical EDI in a row increases. Finally, we conclude by pointing out implications of our findings.
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